Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When reviewing the current landscape of this upcoming tennis match between Svitolina and Muchova, several statistical insights offer a predication on the likely outcome based on both performance and historical data. Over the past six months, Muchova has slightly outperformed Svitolina in second serve points, winning 43.47% compared to Svitolina’s 41.69%. This second serve performance forms a crucial basis for predicting match outcomes, given the high correlation with overall match prediction accuracy.

The return game provides another layer of analysis. In recent months, Svitolina has outperformed Muchova in winning points from their opponent's second serve, with a percentage of 51.78% against Muchova’s 49.04%. For first serve returns, Svitolina also leads, having achieved 29.29% compared to Muchova’s 26.08%. These insights are indicative of who might be favored in this head-to-head matchup.

Analyzing performance under pressure, Muchova slightly edges Svitolina by saving 53.38% of breakpoints compared to Svitolina’s 51.37%. When it comes to converting breakpoints, Svitolina has been more successful, converting 33.96% of opportunities, compared to Muchova’s 27.08%.

Their performance overview over the last year highlights Muchova’s stronger results, winning 71.74% of her matches compared to Svitolina’s 62.5%. Career-wise, both players favor hard courts, with Muchova winning 70% on this surface and Svitolina 68%. However, Muchova has the upper hand on grass, showcasing a win percentage of 59% compared to Svitolina’s 52%.

In terms of tournament level experience, Svitolina has focused on the Masters series recently, winning 61.11% of her matches. On the other hand, Muchova has been more present on the Main tour, claiming victory in 68.42% of her encounters. These figures underscore the relative experience each player brings to different tiers of competitive play.

A vital consideration is their direct head-to-head history. Svitolina has won both of their previous encounters, including the latest match at Wimbledon in 2019. Despite having not faced each other in deciding sets or tiebreaks, Svitolina’s past success against Muchova adds weight to her favorability.

When factoring all metrics into the final prediction, given their head-to-head dominance, efficiency in return games, and superior head-to-head record, Svitolina appears poised to emerge victorious in their upcoming match.